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Hidden sources of FX risk: could your business be exposed?

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Running a business can come with great rewards, but it’s not without risk – something businesses in the UK have become all too familiar with in recent years. Living through unprecedented times has made business owners more aware of the potential impact that macroeconomic events, staffing issues, and supply chain problems can cause. While the risks faced by businesses will differ depending on their focus, one thing they’re likely to have in common is FX risk.

In this article, Thanim Islam, Head of FX Analysis at Equals Money, outlines the risk factors threatening UK SMEs and shares his top tips on how to minimise their FX exposure.

All businesses that make transactions, payments, or purchases in foreign currencies are exposed to FX risk. Whether it’s through selling on an international site like Amazon or importing from abroad, FX exposure is an unavoidable part of international trade. While larger, more profitable businesses are better positioned to weather the volatility of the FX market, for those operating with low margins, even slight currency movements can wreak havoc on their bottom lines.

For SMEs, where cashflow is the lifeblood of their businesses, FX exposure is particularly hazardous. As of last year, 99% of UK businesses were classified as SMEs, making this a risk affecting most of the business population.[1]

What are the key FX risks threatening UK SMEs currently?

The threat of ‘sticky’ inflation remains, meaning profit margins for small businesses may well continue to be tight vulnerable to the impact of FX volatility. This isn’t something to be underestimated and FX exposure putting pressure on already restricted margins has the potential to even wipe out businesses all together.

So, what kind of currency movements should SMEs be looking out for?

Since March, sterling in general has performed very well, which has seen GBPEUR rise by 3.18%, GBPUSD by 7%, GBPCAD 4.17%, and GBPAUD by 8%. These are detrimental moves for SMEs who need to convert foreign currencies back to pounds.

Businesses that can forecast their costs and revenues accurately can mitigate this kind of risk to their profit margins through risk management strategies.

Top tips for minimising your FX exposure

Always plan ahead

If you are able to forecast your expected future currency needs then this is a great starting point in minimising the negative implications of currency moves.

Once you know how much of a currency you may need, you can enter into a forward contract. Forward contracts, a form of currency hedging, are an agreement in foreign exchange dealing that allows you to guarantee, or “lock in”, an exchange rate for the sale or purchase of a specified currency for up to 24 months in the future. Whatever rate you book when the contract is agreed, you’re guaranteed that rate for the agreed time of settlement, thus mitigating the impact of market fluctuations. This can provide the stability and foresight that’s key for SMEs looking to plan and grow while taking market uncertainty into account.

Don’t forget inbound payments

It’s not just businesses that make purchases from abroad who could be losing out. If you’re accepting payments from a foreign customer, you also need to make sure you’re getting the best deal when the currency is converted in their accounts. When receiving large payments from a different currency through traditional banks, businesses run the risk of losing significant amounts of money during the conversion due to poor exchange rates. It’s important to consider your FX exposure holistically including your incoming payments to make sure you’re protecting your business from unnecessary losses.

Decide your risk appetite

While some small businesses may wish to play it safe and mitigate as much exposure to market fluctuations as possible, others may wish to gamble on FX rates in the hopes of facilitating growth. Deciding whether or not to take this risk will depend on your business’s margins, and the amount of revenue that’s tied up in international trade. It can be challenging for a small business to make this call, but by working with a payments partner who offers expertise in FX, businesses can gain insight that better informs their decision -making process.

While FX risk is an unavoidable part of business transactions, it’s important for SMEs to recognise the degree of risk they face and consider implementing appropriate risk management strategies. This may include seeking advice from FX and financial advisors, exploring hedging options, diversifying markets, and staying informed and ahead of global economic trends and exchange rate movements. Just a 15 minute conversation with an FX advisor could be enough to put in place an FX strategy that can alleviate FX pressures on your small business.

 

[1] Gov.UK,  Business population estimates for the UK and regions 2022: statistical release, October 2022.

 

Banking

Emerging technology will power long-term sustainability within the UK banking industry 

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By Peter-Jan Van De Venn, VP Global Digital Banking at Hexaware Mobiquity.

 

Sustainability has been a big focus for the banking industry in recent years, with the issue becoming increasingly important for consumers. It’s no wonder that sustainability has become baked into the purposes of almost every bank, from Natwest to HSBC.

However, the economic uncertainty of the last year has led to many banks putting it on the back burner. Challenging market conditions have forced financial institutions to change their priorities to concentrate on protecting the bottom line. Our research found there’s been a significant drop in the number of UK banks saying that sustainability remains a key business strategy. 12 months ago it was a major priority for 100 per cent of banks, but now that number has shrunk to 60 percent.

Whilst it’s understandable that banks are feeling the pressure at the moment, there’s a risk that they will miss out if they hit the pause button. From cost savings brought by innovative digital products and services, to improved brand reputation and increased profitability, there are a lot of longer-term benefits they could be failing to unlock. So how can they keep moving forward?

Losing momentum

Emerging technology holds the key to their success, with the power to disrupt current behaviours and promote a more sustainable culture. Banks are already aware of this, with 76 percent using digital transformation to drive sustainability, but a lack of leadership has made it difficult to build momentum in the last 12 months. Currently just over half (54 percent) of banks have tasked an executive at board level with overseeing sustainability – way down from 83% just 12 months ago.

This lack of board authority means banks are struggling to engage the entire organisation to move ahead with sustainable initiatives. As a result, almost two-thirds of banks are seeing progress slow, admitting they are not actively taking steps to foster more sustainable behaviours throughout the organisation. Those that have taken their foot off the gas need to find a way to move forward again.

No time for standing still

Banks know that technology can drive sustainable behaviour. For instance, many of them are already encouraging their workforce to work remotely, as a way of reducing travel. This has two benefits – not only does it cut the costs of running physical offices at full capacity, but also reduces the bank’s carbon footprint. There has never been a better time to invest in technology to drive more sustainable behaviours.

New digital products and services can also extend the benefits beyond employees to encompass the wider customer base. A fair number of banks are already investing to make this happen. More than a third (35 percent) of banking organisations are using Machine Learning (ML), Artificial Intelligence (AI), cloud and analytics to make digital services more easily accessible. Investment in these technologies will be critical as the number of physical bank branches continues to decrease, with figures from Which? showing this is taking place at a rate of 54 branch closures each month.

Hitting environmental and social responsibility goals

Emerging technologies can also help banks keep pace with tightening ESG rules and regulations. Banks are faced with demands for increasingly granular reporting and transparency on ESG – demanding a new approach. In line, 41% of them are developing data visualisation tools to improve stakeholder engagement and understanding of ESG risks and opportunities, while 37% are using machine learning and artificial intelligence to identify and track ESG risks and opportunities across a wide range of data sources.

More than one in three are also using the blockchain to improve transparency and traceability in supply chains, and implementing digital tools and platforms to collect, analyse, and report ESG data and metrics in a standardised and consistent manner. All these applications of emerging technology will put banks on track to address global environmental challenges and unlock a greener future.

Long-term sustainability

As the economic pressures hopefully start to subside, increasing numbers of banks will start investigating how they can use emerging technologies to provide engaging experiences and value-added services for customers, to drive greater revenue and efficiencies.

Whilst banks are right to focus on their revenue under difficult trading conditions, it’s important they don’t miss out on the long-term benefits that sustainability can bring. To capitalise on this, banks must keep pushing the boundaries and invest in emerging innovations to drive more sustainable banking behaviours, benefiting the planet and driving great digital experiences for customers.

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Banking

The Future of Banking: Streamlined Cash Management for ATMs

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Gaetano Ziri, Innovation Manager, Auriga

 

“Maintaining free access to cash for the community demands robust strategies to mitigate the escalating costs incurred by banks and ATM operators in handling cash. A pivotal step in this direction is modernising cash management systems to foster efficiency and reduce operational costs.

Back in 2018, a report by McKinsey underscored the urgent need to overhaul the largely manual and disjointed systems relied upon by nearly half the banks worldwide for forecasting cash requirements at branches and ATMs. Despite the decrease in cash usage noted by the European Central Bank, the cost of managing cash has not abated, primarily due to surging labour costs.

To reconcile the demand for free access to cash with the requisite cost reductions, banks are increasingly turning towards tech-driven solutions in cash management that elevate service levels while driving down expenses.

The Complex Landscape of ATM Network Management

Operating a vast ATM network can be a double-edged sword for banks, simultaneously offering customer convenience and engendering considerable challenges, including substantial cash handling, management, transit and security costs. Each ATM embodies a multifaceted operation involving numerous cash transfer operatives, necessitating a coordinated strategy to forestall costly inefficiencies.

The remedy is a holistic, data-centric approach to streamline the management of intricate ATM networks and counter the escalating costs associated with cash access. The merits of such an approach, grounded in continuous data collection and analysis across ATM networks, encompass:

  • Strategic Planning: Leveraging real-time data to craft bespoke strategies for individual branches or regions, assuring optimal cash flow management and averting superfluous cash loading orders.
  • Operational Transparency: Facilitating stakeholders with instantaneous access to accounting and operational data relating to cash supply chains, thereby enabling timely interventions and adaptations.
  • Enhanced Customer Experience: Minimising ATM downtimes to guarantee uninterrupted cash access to customers, enhancing their banking experience.

Innovations in Cash Management: A Closer Look

So, how does this revolutionary cash management technology function? The answer lies in a series of sophisticated features that employ cutting-edge predictive analytics, automation, and data-driven decision-making:

  • Predictive Analysis: Forward-thinking solutions predict cash necessities of distinct units, offering precise demand and cash flow projections by considering variables such as seasonal fluctuations, holidays, and daily usage trends.
  • Automation and Monitoring: Swapping manual processes or basic mathematical functions with modern software solutions for cash management ushers in real-time monitoring and efficient intervention planning, which can potentially diminish order management costs by a significant margin, whilst improving precision and operational fluidity.
  • Optimised Cash Transit Management: Utilising predictive analytics to strategically plan cash restocks, thereby reducing the likelihood of ATMs depleting their cash reserves and improving customer satisfaction.
  • Data-Driven Decision Making: Availing a comprehensive dashboard to generate timely reports and monitor critical metrics facilitates strategic decision-making grounded in accurate data, substantially reducing residual cash stock in ATMs.

As the financial landscape evolves, banks and financial institutions are impelled to adapt and innovate. Traditional cash management approaches are increasingly becoming outdated, paving the way for modern, data-driven solutions. These not only embody a commitment to technological advancement but also signify a strategic movement towards future readiness.

Embracing such technologies promises streamlined operations, substantial cost reductions, and a superior customer experience, setting a new standard in ATM network management.”

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