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PRIVATE EQUITY TURNS UP THE HEAT ON FOREX MANAGEMENT

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By Tom Farrow, Group Director of Trading, Monex Europe

 

With ongoing volatility posing an ever-substantial threat to returns – and potentially even leaving investors facing losses – currency risk is concentrating minds across the private equity market.
LPs are increasingly pushing GPs to mitigate currency risk as part of their investment thesis, with many asking the latter to show they have a considered forex strategy in place, and in some cases, how they are planning to manage it over the lifetime of the fund.

GPs for their part are also looking to manage forex risk more proactively and seeking out the most cost-effective and economic ways to do so. To some extent, it is the price of success – the more the industry hits record levels of M&A, the more the risk of exposure.

 

The private equity forex risk

Forex risk is embedded across the investment process – from the initial commitment and currency element of the investment, all the way through to the exit of the investment, as well as any subsequent distributions.

Furthermore, investors must consider the asset class and the currency itself. At a portfolio level, if a firm is investing in assets outside the base currency of the fund, it creates a forex risk – just as it does when it runs share classes in different currencies to the base currency of the fund. The exposure is linked to who the underlying investors are, the types of investors, the size of the fund, the strategy, and the attitude of the manager.

 

How private equity is addressing forex risk

We continue to see the more traditional hedging of capital calls, realisations, balance sheet/assets and management fees across the industry. In certain asset classes, we are also witnessing yield hedging and the more opportunistic trades that present themselves when there are moves such as the recent sterling-dollar exchange rate swings.

Typically, passive hedging rather than opportunistic hedging is more cost-effective, as it looks to remove downside risk at the lowest possible cost. This often means looking for a partner who can provide facilities that do not require GPs to tie up punitive amounts of capital and offer trading strategies that do not create huge numbers of cash events over the life cycle of the investment.

It is worth noting that a highly sophisticated strategy does not necessarily translate into the optimal solution. A hedging strategy should include a blend of products that can respond quickly to a volatile market to reduce the risk of forex having a negative impact on the underlying investment.

For example, a dynamic hedging strategy can be designed to recalculate the NAV or the change in the share classes multiple times daily and adjust the hedge accordingly. There are strategies such as interest rate swaps which create a level of certainty in factors that have traditionally been uncertain, and can impact the underlying performance of an investment.

Given that more transactions drive up costs, it’s foreign exchange providers’ job to determine the most cost-effective way of hedging risk to secure the best outcome for the manager and its LPs.

 

What does the future hold?

There is currently considerable uncertainty around interest rates, and that is driving an elevated focus in interest rate swap among GPs.

We are also seeing more demand for international bank accounts, primarily because banks have become less willing to provide those services. Even if managers are just collecting funds from LPs, making acquisitions and distributions on a cross-border basis, they need an account to do that. However, the costs of maintaining accounts are often prohibitive, so we now offer digital solutions that meet GP and LP expectations and demonstrate high levels of corporate governance.

LPs expect their GP partners to adopt a best practice approach across their entire business model. As such, we are likely to see more private equity firms adopt a proactive forex management in the coming years to reduce costs and improve efficiencies. Private equity has always been run as leanly as possible because any additional costs act as a drag on yield and performance. With many GPs increasing the size and complexity of their global footprint, the demand for expert forex advice will continue to grow.

 

Business

Ransomware chokes COBRA: How AI-powered data analysis can support financial services’ plight

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By Toby Butler, Financial Crime Solutions Manager at Ripjar

 

Ransomware attacks are on the increase in the United Kingdom. Most of the British Government’s COBRA meetings have been convened in response to ransomware attacks, showing how cybersecurity breaches are as pressing as national emergencies and crises. The National Cyber Security Centre’s (NCSC) annual review found this year that the country was hit by 17 ransomware incidents that were so impactful they “require a nationally coordinated response”. That extends to the financial services sector, which saw an increase of ransomware attacks with 55% of organisations hit in 2021.

Where does this leave the sector and how can artificial intelligence and machine learning be instrumental in understanding the risks companies face against future ransomware attacks?

Toby Butler

Company information is being stolen and sold to different threat groups, who prey on the individuals in that organisation who are more likely to pay them. The UK is one of the most cyber-attacked countries in the world and the Government has been criticised for being “ill-equipped” to deal with this exponential rise of fraud cases.

 

Ransomware-as-a-Service

Ransomware is one of the most common forms of cybercrime. Fighting it has become one of the biggest problems that organisations today face during their everyday operations. For instance, Malware (malicious software) encrypts the files of a single computer, then works its way through an entire network to reach the server and inflict maximum damage. Company information is being stolen and sold to different threat groups, who prey on the individuals in that organisation who are more likely to pay them.

When these attacks occur the victims, more often businesses, are left with minimal options. If they have substantial backup solutions already in place, they can attempt to restore the encrypted data to their servers. But if that data isn’t already secured elsewhere, they may need to pay a ransom to the criminals behind the attack. Thereby allowing the business to function once again and restoring their reputation. The cost of paying the ransom will feel considerably smaller compared to starting a business again from scratch. Sophos’ State of Ransomware in Financial Services 2022 report found that 52% of financial services organisations paid the ransom to restore their data, the average remediation cost in financial services was US$1.59M.

Cybersecurity Ventures estimates that ransomware is set to cost global businesses more than $256 billion by the end of 2031. By that token, organisations need to be extremely mindful of the potential threats they may face. Businesses need to understand the methodologies these hackers use, to address the weaknesses within their domain and take measures to isolate and prevent further ransomware attacks from happening again.

 

The rise of WAMs

According to a recent report by security firm CyberSixgill, 19% of the 3,612 cyberattacks that took place in 2021 were traced back to Wholesale Access Markets – or WAMs for short. WAMs are, in essence, underground internet flea markets. These markets are where aspiring attackers come to purchase network access from threat actors – the individual or entity involved in carrying out the cyber-attack. Types of threat actors include insiders, cybercriminals, rival organisations, or even nation states stealing data.

WAMs sell access to multiple compromised endpoints (or pathways) for around 10-20 dollars. Researchers found that WAMs listed access to approximately 4.3 million compromised endpoints in 2021, which include access to both provider and enterprise software (for example, an organisation’s Slack channel) up to 180 days before the attack itself took place. This shows how long these compromised endpoints remain undetected without proper internal analysis.

 

How can Financial Services stay ahead of the curve?

The use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and machine learning is undisputed across modern businesses and sectors, and continues to revolutionise processes across the board. AI is a significant player in the financial services industry, building the ‘cyber-wall’ against nefarious users. It gives organisations optimal insights into reducing the likelihood of a ransomware attack in the future.

Namely, AI and machine learning collects and analyses vast amounts of messy (structured and unstructured) data from disparate sources. The challenge for the sector is to understand the volume and variety of the raw data collected from any source to build better protection in the future.

Structured information could be best understood as the clear data we see in a table. For example, the following attendees made a business meeting: first name – Joan, surname – Smith, age – 46. But unstructured information is information presented in a complex manner. For example, ‘there were five people who attended the business meeting, one of whom was forty-six and called Joan Smith’. Naturally, due to the complex nature of the prose, it would be more difficult for a machine to process that data into a digestible format for further risk analysis. This is where AI continues to prove invaluable.

AI uses natural language processing to understand the information provided on the web. As the software continues to evolve, natural language processing reads the information in a way a human would to extract the key information from the text. By incorporating AI and machine learning within an organisation’s IT infrastructure, companies operating within financial services can be better equipped to handle cybercrime.

These tools are flexible and adaptable, they can be configured to analyse different types of data from different sources to curate key insights. This collated information provides a better analysis of the organisation’s exposure, allowing them the opportunity to get upstream in preventing future attacks. This kind of approach is essential to processing listings on WAMs.

The power to analyse data to identify weakness is vital in the battle against cybercrime. It gives organisations a better understanding into what they could expect to see in the future. Hosting the correct data, and with the analytical skills, financial organisations can gain a better understanding of the methodologies and weaknesses in-house that attackers use and exploit to hold them to ransom. Organisations can then use this as a reference to pinpoint compromised endpoints, giving them a chance to reduce access before this route can be exploited and ruin their business.

With cybercrime and ransomware continuing to remain prevalent, it’s vital that financial services companies understand how they can get ahead of the curve and build a robust security platform within their IT infrastructure that can withstand an attack. In 2022, a ransomware attack occurred every 40 seconds. The mindset for the sector needs to be one of when, not if.

Organisations need to be thinking about an attack now – before it’s happened. Pre-planning and preparing for the worst possible outcome from future threats and adversaries. The introduction of AI and machine learning in the fight against cybercrime is a must, and the sooner the industry gets behind in implementing AI, the safer it will be through the next decade.

 

 

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SVEA BANK ACQUIRES AREX’S FINTECH OPERATION IN FINLAND

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AREX Markets, the data-driven FinTech company that drives financing costs down for SMEs and enables them to get paid quicker, has announced the sale of its Finland operations to Swedish payment and financing institution Svea Bank.

With the deal, Svea will further strengthen its position as a corporate financier, as AREX’s c.1200 Finnish customers and partnerships in the areas of financial management and financial management software will be transferred to the bank’s portfolio. The Finnish operation of AREX has financed over EUR 500M worth of invoices.

AREX’s Spanish and UK operations remain unaffected and remain focused on building embeddable financing products for third party platforms. Customers in Finland have been informed of their transition, and their contracts and service details will port across to Svea.

Svea is reshaping the playing field of corporate finance in Finland, and taking on the operations of AREX in the region is a natural step to strengthen their own business and at the same time offer AREX’s partners and customers an easy path to a wider range of services than before.

“Over the years, Svea has grown a lot also through business transactions, therefore acquiring AREX’s business operations in Finland was a good and natural solution for us. In addition, the deal is pleasant for us at Svea because the focus of our activities is to help partners and customers succeed – offering AREX’s partners and customers a wider range of services is exactly that,” says Pasi Väre, country manager of Svea in Finland.

The deal also brings new opportunities for AREX to focus on the UK and Europe in its roll out of embeddable financing products, which can be white-labelled by neobanks, ERPs and accounting software alike. The business is seeking to bridge the liquidity gap faced by most small businesses in the face of a recessive economic climate.

UK SME’s can continue to access AREX’s core invoice financing product through the Xero marketplace.

“For us at AREX, this is a great step: we are developing a stronger presence in the field of embedded finance, which is underpinned by our sophisticated marketplace software, our strongest point,” says AREX’s CEO, Airto Vienola.

“For the AREX team it was extremely important that we find the best possible corporate financier to take care of the business’ customers and partnerships in Finland. Svea convinced us with their customer and partner-centric approach”, adds AREX’s co-founder Perttu Jalkanen.

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